Unemployment in November
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 22:01:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.8% (99.0%), Above 3.7% (98.0%), Above 3.9% (98.0%). The market has $50K in volume and closes on Fri, 04 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.8% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 3.7% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 3.9% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 4.0% | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Above 4.1% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Above 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 4.5% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 5.0% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $50K
- Liquidity: $50K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.8%:
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.8% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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