LA-04 Republican nominee?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:05:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mike Johnson (13.0%), Josh Morott (1.0%), Mike Nichols (1.0%). The market has $70K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Mike Johnson13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Josh Morott1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Mike Nichols1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mike Johnson:

If Mike Johnson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.