Jobs numbers this month?
As of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 04:36:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above -25,000 (95.0%), Above 0 (93.0%), Above 10,000 (88.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Fri, 04 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above -25,000 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 0 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 10,000 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 20,000 | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 30,000 | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 40,000 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 50,000 | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| Above 60,000 | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above 70,000 | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Above 80,000 | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Above 90,000 | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Above 125,000 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Above 100,000 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above -25,000:
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
Sources
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