Diesel price on Election Day
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.60 (99.0%), Above $5.20 (99.0%), Above $4.80 (99.0%). The market has $151K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.60 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above $5.20 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above $4.80 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above $5.00 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above $5.40 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above $4.40 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above $5.60 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above $5.80 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above $6.00 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above $6.20 | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above $6.40 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Above $6.60 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Above $6.80 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above $7.00 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above $7.20 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $151K
- Liquidity: $151K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.60:
If the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 is above $4.60, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the value shown in the “Diesel” column of the “Current Avg.” row in AAA’s National Average Gas Prices table for November 3, 2026. “Election Day” refers specifically to November 3, 2026. The market is based on the single daily value for that date, not an average calculated during voting hours or over any longer period.
Sources
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