AP calls the Senate by...?

As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 02:54:01 UTC, Polymarket traders price January 4, 11:59 PM (96.0%), December 2, 11:59 PM (86.5%), November 18, 11:59 PM (83.5%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 05 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
January 4, 11:59 PM96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
December 2, 11:59 PM86.5%86.5¢13.5¢
November 18, 11:59 PM83.5%83.5¢16.5¢
November 13, 11:59 PM82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
November 6, 11:59 PM80.5%80.5¢19.5¢
November 4, 11:59 PM78.0%78.0¢22.0¢
November 4, 3:59 AM76.5%76.5¢23.5¢
November 4, 12:59 AM47.5%47.5¢52.5¢
November 3, 11:59 PM44.0%44.0¢56.0¢
November 3, 10:59 PM22.5%22.5¢77.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.

Sources

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