US active housing listings in October

As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 07:03:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1,100,000 listings (96.0%), Above 1,125,000 listings (92.0%), Above 1,150,000 listings (70.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 13 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 1,100,000 listings96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 1,125,000 listings92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above 1,150,000 listings70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
Above 1,175,000 listings52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Above 1,200,000 listings13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Above 1,225,000 listings4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Above 1,250,000 listings2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1,100,000 listings:

If the US active housing listing count (Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States) for October 2026 is above 1,100,000 listings, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first value published for the October 2026 observation of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED series “Housing Inventory: Active Listing Count in the United States,” series ID ACTLISCOUUS. Only the initially reported FRED value will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.