10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 7, 2026?
As of Wed, 07 Oct 2026 16:27:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.2% or above (100.0%), 5.18% or above (100.0%), 5.16% or above (100.0%). The market has $46K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.2% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.18% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.16% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.22% or above | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| 5.24% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.26% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.28% or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 5.3% or above | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| 5.32% or above | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 5.34% or above | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 5.38% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.36% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.44% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.4% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.42% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $46K
- Liquidity: $46K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.2% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 7, 2026, or one week following Oct 7, 2026.
Sources
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