10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 14, 2026?
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:27:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.11% or above (99.0%), 5.13% or above (99.0%), 5.15% or above (98.0%). The market has $66K in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.11% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.13% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.15% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 5.17% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 5.19% or above | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| 5.21% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 5.23% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 5.27% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5.25% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.31% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.29% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.37% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.39% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.35% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 5.33% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $66K
- Liquidity: $66K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.15% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 14, 2026, or one week following Oct 14, 2026.
Sources
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