Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2028 (9.0%), Before 2027 (3.0%). The market has $311K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Feb 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2028 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $311K
- Liquidity: $311K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2028:
If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations.
Sources
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