Will the House vote on a birth tourism crackdown?
As of Fri, 25 Sep 2026 06:26:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (2.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the House has conducted any recorded vote on legislation that would materially restrict birth tourism or birthright citizenship for children of temporary visitors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment
Sources
Related markets
- Will the SAVE Act become law?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Will the SAVE America Act become law?
- Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
- Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?
- Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.