Will the House pass a bill to codify Roe v. Wade?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:18:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (64.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If a bill codifying Roe v. Wade has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying bill is legislation that establishes a federal statutory right to abortion that applies in every state, at least as broad as Roe v. Wade: abortion must be protected before fetal viability, and after viability where needed to protect the patient's life or health. The Women's Health Protection Act or a successor bill with the same effect qualifies. Legislation limited to a narrower subject, such as interstate travel, contraception, medication abortion, funding or the privacy of reproductive health data, does NOT qualify, and neither does a bill that protects abortion only for a shorter period than before viability. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying right. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.
Sources
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