Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:13:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Mar 1, 2027 (46.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (32.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Mar 1, 2027:
If the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 or other legislation containing its core permitting reforms has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 counts if enacted under that name, including as amended. Other legislation, including a renamed version or a larger bill such as a defense authorization or government funding bill, counts if all three of the Act's core permitting reforms become law, in one or more laws, after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027: (1) deadlines for, or limits on judicial review of, environmental reviews under the National Environmental Policy Act; (2) limits on the federal government's ability to revoke, suspend or withdraw already-issued federal permits; and (3) new Federal Energy Regulatory Commission authority over the siting or cost allocation of interstate electric transmission lines.
Sources
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