Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (3.0%). The market has $55K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the Republican Party loses majority control of the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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