Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:27:47 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (18.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $352
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
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