Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
As of Tue, 08 Sep 2026 12:25:58 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (7.5%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $53K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Sources
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