Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:28 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (14.5%). The market has $125K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $125K
- Liquidity: $281
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that Half-Life 3 is in production by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "Half-Life 3" (e.g., Half-Life: Alyx, Half-Life 2: Episode One) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The game must have the words "Half-Life 3" in the title to qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Sources
Related markets
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
- Richest person on December 31, 2026?
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.