Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
As of Mon, 31 Aug 2026 12:51:43 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (4.9%). The market has $16K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.9% | 4.9¢ | 95.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $16K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.
Sources
Related markets
- Next James Bond actor?
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?
- Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
- Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
- #1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
- Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.