Will DoorDash acquire Instacart?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 12:37:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (77.0%), Before Nov 16, 2026 (71.0%), Before Mar 1, 2027 (70.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Before Nov 2, 2026 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:
If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Instacart. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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