Will Bitcoin exceed $90,000 by end of month?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 08:27:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (18.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes18.0%18.0¢82.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If a qualifying one-minute average of the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is above $90,000 after issuance at Nov 2, 2026 at 12:45 PM EST and before Nov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. The source is CF Benchmarks. Each minute after issuance and before the deadline is evaluated separately: discard the highest 20% and lowest 20% of BRTI observations in that minute and average the remaining 60%. The qualifying average must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. An earlier qualifying minute counts even if Bitcoin subsequently falls below the threshold. Last trading is the earlier of the first 10:00 AM ET following a qualifying occurrence or the stated deadline. Expiration follows BTCMINMAX, including its data-availability contingencies. If no data is available on the Expiration Date at the Expiration Time, the market resolves to No. Revisions after expiration are disregarded.

Sources

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