Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (49.0%), Before Nov 3, 2026 (14.0%). The market has $29K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Before Nov 3, 2026 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $29K
- Liquidity: $29K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:
If any current member of the Democratic Senate caucus (including independents who caucus with Democrats) publicly states that Chuck Schumer should step down, resign, or be replaced as Senate Democratic Leader before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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