Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

As of Thu, 13 Aug 2026 16:59:04 UTC, Polymarket traders price 50 (42.0%), 20 (12.5%), 5 (9.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
5042.0%42.0¢58.0¢
2012.5%12.5¢87.5¢
59.0%9.0¢91.0¢
108.0%8.0¢92.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5:

This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one coin launched in 2026 appears in the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization on CoinGecko at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Rankings will be determined using CoinGecko’s market capitalization rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.