Who will host the 2038 FIFA World Cup?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:27 UTC, Kalshi traders price USA (54.0%), China (21.0%), Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay (17.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Jan 2034.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| China | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Argentina, Uruguay, Chile or Paraguay | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Australia or New Zealand | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| France, Belgium or the Netherlands | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Brazil, Colombia or Peru | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Switzerland or Austria | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| United Kingdom or Ireland | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Cambodia | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Italy | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Germany | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Panama or Costa Rica | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Egypt | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Greece or Turkey | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for USA:
If USA is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes. Once an official host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Example: If Australia and Cambodia are announced as hosts, the market titled "Australia or New Zealand" and "Cambodia" will resolve to Yes, while other markets will resolve to No.
Sources
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