Who will dissent at the December 2026 FOMC meeting?
As of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 00:50:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Michelle Bowman (51.0%), Michael Barr (50.0%), John Williams (48.0%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Wed, 09 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Bowman | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Michael Barr | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| John Williams | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Philip Jefferson | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| Lisa Cook | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Neel Kashkari | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Anna Paulson | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Beth Hammack | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Lorie Logan | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Christopher Waller | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Jerome Powell | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Kevin Warsh | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $150K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Michelle Bowman:
If Michelle Bowman formally dissented at the December 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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