Who will be Ranking Member of Senate HELP Committee?

As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:18:22 UTC, Kalshi traders price Rand Paul (45.0%), Josh Hawley (34.0%), Lisa Murkowski (6.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Rand Paul45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
Josh Hawley34.0%34.0¢66.0¢
Lisa Murkowski6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Jim Banks3.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Tim Scott3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Rand Paul:

If Rand Paul is the first Ranking Member of Senate HELP Committee for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. If no named person is the first Ranking Member of Senate HELP Committee for the 120th Congress by Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, every market resolves to No.

Sources

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