Which players will retire before 1 July 2027?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:50:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Olivier Giroud (71.5%), Manuel Neuer (57.0%), Luka Modric (50.4%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Olivier Giroud71.5%71.5¢28.5¢
Manuel Neuer57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Luka Modric50.4%50.4¢49.6¢
Thomas Muller50.1%50.1¢49.9¢
Angel Di Maria50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Wojciech Szczesny50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Edin Dzeko50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
James Rodriguez48.5%48.5¢51.5¢
Robert Lewandowski48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Karim Benzema35.5%35.5¢64.5¢
Luis Suarez32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Cristiano Ronaldo29.0%29.0¢71.0¢
Ivan Perisic18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Marco Reus17.2%17.2¢82.8¢
Lionel Messi2.5%2.5¢97.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.