Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
As of Sun, 30 Aug 2026 17:38:15 UTC, Polymarket traders price Democratic Party (68.5%), Republican Party (23.0%), Tie (9.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 68.5% | 68.5¢ | 31.5¢ |
| Republican Party | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Tie | 9.5% | 9.5¢ | 90.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $48K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a correspond…
Sources
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