Which banks will take Anthropic public?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mizuho (90.0%), Allen & Company (54.0%), William Blair (45.0%). The market has $18K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mizuho | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Allen & Company | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| William Blair | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Raymond James | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Stifel Financial | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Rothschild & Co | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| Qatalyst Partners | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Moelis & Company | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Perella Weinberg Partners | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Evercore | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| PJT Partners | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Greenhill & Co | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Lazard | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Piper Sandler | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Centerview | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $18K
- Liquidity: $18K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mizuho:
If Mizuho serves as a lead underwriter for Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.
Sources
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