Where will it rain on October 31?
As of Sun, 01 Nov 2026 04:08:28 UTC, Polymarket traders price New Orleans, LA (99.5%), Phoenix, AZ (99.5%), Miami, FL (99.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans, LA | 99.5% | 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Phoenix, AZ | 99.5% | 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Miami, FL | 99.5% | 99.5¢ | 0.5¢ |
| Los Angeles, CA | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Atlanta, GA | 46.5% | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ |
| Houston, TX | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
| Chicago, IL | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.0¢ |
| San Francisco, CA | 45.5% | 45.5¢ | 54.5¢ |
| Washington, DC | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Seattle, WA | 1.1% | 1.1¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Dallas, TX | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Boston, MA | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| New York, NY | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Philadelphia, PA | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for New Orleans, LA:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Orleans, LA records measurable precipitation on October 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMSY: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMSY, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MSY.
Sources
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