When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?

As of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 20:21:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2027 (1.0%), Before Mar 1, 2027 (1.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (1.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 20271.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Before Mar 1, 20271.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Before Oct 1, 20261.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2027:

If Lance Schroyer is the first person confirmed as Director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.

Sources

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