What will Shantanu Narayen say during Adobe MAX Opening Keynote?
As of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 15:22:32 UTC, Kalshi traders price Photoshop (67.0%), Generative AI / Gen AI (62.0%), Premiere (49.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Tue, 24 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Photoshop | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Generative AI / Gen AI | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Premiere | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Acrobat | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Adobe Express | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Firefly Video | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| Content Credential | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| OpenAI / ChatGPT | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| GenStudio | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Topaz Labs | 29.0% | 29.0¢ | 71.0¢ |
| NVIDIA | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| YouTube | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Generative Fill | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 3D | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Copyright | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Photoshop:
If Shantanu Narayen says Photoshop as part of Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Adobe MAX 2026 — Opening Keynote originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Shantanu Narayen speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves t…
Sources
Related markets
- What will Workday CEO say during Innovation Keynote?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.