What will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 4.1 million (99.0%), Above 4.2 million (98.0%), Above 4.3 million (95.0%). The market has $298K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.1 million | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 4.2 million | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 4.3 million | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 4.4 million | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Above 4.5 million | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $298K
- Liquidity: $298K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 4.1 million:
If NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series is above 4.1 million in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
- Recession this year?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.