What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 18:48:43 UTC, Kalshi traders price AI / Artificial Intelligence (81.0%), Projection (76.0%), Central Bank (73.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 24 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Projection | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Central Bank | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Credit | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Independent / Independence | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Oil | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| Shock | 58.0% | 58.0¢ | 42.0¢ |
| Inflation Expectation | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Balance Sheet | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Restrictive | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| Family Fight / Family Feud | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Productivity | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Anchor / Anchored | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Geopolitical | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Uncertainty | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for AI / Artificial Intelligence:
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used. Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.
Sources
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