What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:59:08 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↓ $4,100 (89.5%), ↑ $4,200 (54.6%), ↓ $4,000 (40.5%). The market has $57K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $4,100 | 89.5% | 89.5¢ | 10.5¢ |
| ↑ $4,200 | 54.6% | 54.6¢ | 45.4¢ |
| ↓ $4,000 | 40.5% | 40.5¢ | 59.5¢ |
| ↑ $4,300 | 23.5% | 23.5¢ | 76.5¢ |
| ↓ $3,900 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| ↑ $4,400 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| ↓ $3,800 | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| ↑ $4,500 | 2.6% | 2.6¢ | 97.4¢ |
| ↓ $3,700 | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ |
| ↑ $4,800 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ |
| ↓ $3,500 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.2¢ |
| ↑ $4,600 | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ |
| ↑ $4,900 | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ |
| ↓ $3,600 | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.4¢ |
| ↑ $4,700 | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $57K
- Liquidity: $435K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t…
Sources
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