What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 14:00:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Budget (89.0%), Ukraine / Ukrainian (81.0%), Benefit / Welfare (76.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 18 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Budget | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Benefit / Welfare | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Energy | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Tax | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| EU / European Union | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| NATO | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Trump | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Iran / Iranian | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Russia / Russian | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Brexit | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| NHS / Healthcare | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| China / Chinese | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Budget:
If Andy Burnham says Budget as part of next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). Andy Burnham speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. For the purposes of this market, 'next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)' refers to the next official PMQs session in which Andy Burnham participates, occurring after October 22, 2026 01:30 PM. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.
Sources
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