What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:49:07 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↓ $2.5 (58.5%), ↓ $2 (25.0%), ↑ $6 (24.0%). The market has $267K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $2.5 | 58.5% | 58.5¢ | 41.5¢ |
| ↓ $2 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| ↑ $6 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| ↑ $8 | 8.9% | 8.9¢ | 91.0¢ |
| ↑ $10 | 7.1% | 7.1¢ | 92.9¢ |
| ↑ $12 | 3.5% | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ |
| ↑ $15 | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.7¢ |
| ↑ $20 | 2.8% | 2.8¢ | 97.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $267K
- Liquidity: $102K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↓ $2.5:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources
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