What price will Bitcoin hit on October 21?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:36:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price ↑ 84,000 (65.0%), ↑ 85,000 (17.5%), ↓ 82,000 (16.5%). The market has $132K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 84,000 | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| ↑ 85,000 | 17.5% | 17.5¢ | 82.5¢ |
| ↓ 82,000 | 16.5% | 16.5¢ | 83.5¢ |
| ↓ 81,000 | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| ↑ 86,000 | 4.3% | 4.3¢ | 95.7¢ |
| ↓ 80,000 | 1.9% | 1.9¢ | 98.1¢ |
| ↑ 87,000 | 1.5% | 1.5¢ | 98.5¢ |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.3¢ |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0.2% | 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $132K
- Liquidity: $393K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for ↑ 84,000:
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sources
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