Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:34:46 UTC, Polymarket traders price 72,000 (99.9%), 74,000 (99.9%), 76,000 (99.0%). The market has $87K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
72,00099.9%99.9¢0.1¢
74,00099.9%99.9¢0.1¢
76,00099.0%99.0¢1.0¢
78,00097.0%97.0¢2.9¢
80,00083.5%83.5¢16.5¢
82,00034.5%34.5¢65.5¢
84,0004.5%4.5¢95.5¢
86,0001.1%1.1¢99.0¢
88,0000.2%0.2¢99.8¢
90,0000.1%0.1¢100.0¢
92,0000.1%0.1¢100.0¢

Prices on other venues

OutcomeVenueChanceUpdated
72,000Opinion50.0%
74,000Opinion50.0%
76,000Opinion50.0%
78,000Opinion50.0%
80,000Opinion50.0%
82,000Opinion50.0%
84,000Opinion50.0%
86,000Opinion50.0%
88,000Opinion50.0%
90,000Opinion50.0%
92,000Opinion50.0%

Compare odds across venues

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Sources

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