Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:13:07 UTC, Polymarket traders price $200M (98.1%), $100M (98.0%), $300M (93.2%). The market has $1.5M in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 98.1% | 98.1¢ | 1.9¢ |
| $100M | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 1.9¢ |
| $300M | 93.2% | 93.2¢ | 6.9¢ |
| $500M | 87.5% | 87.5¢ | 12.5¢ |
| $800M | 72.5% | 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ |
| $1B | 57.5% | 57.5¢ | 42.5¢ |
| $2B | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| $3B | 11.6% | 11.6¢ | 88.4¢ |
| $4B | 6.9% | 6.9¢ | 93.2¢ |
| $5B | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1.5M
- Liquidity: $483K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources
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