US housing starts for September
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:20:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.100M (97.0%), Above 1.150M (95.0%), Above 1.200M (85.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Tue, 27 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.100M | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 1.150M | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 1.200M | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| Above 1.250M | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Above 1.300M | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above 1.400M | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above 1.350M | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above 1.450M | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.100M:
If US housing starts for September 2026 is above 1.100M, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for September 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the September 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the September 2026 Housing Starts value.
Sources
Related markets
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Housing units authorized in Vermont this year
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Fed decision in October?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.