US existing home sales for September

As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 20:55:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.60M (99.0%), Above 3.70M (98.0%), Above 3.80M (92.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 3.60M99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 3.70M98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 3.80M92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above 3.90M89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
Above 4.00M37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
Above 4.10M19.0%19.0¢81.0¢
Above 4.20M5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 4.30M3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.60M:

If US existing home sales for September 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 3.60M, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Trading Economics (series: United States Existing Home Sales), which reports National Association of Realtors (NAR) data.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.