US building permits for October
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 07:53:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 1.250M (92.0%), Above 1.300M (88.0%), Above 1.350M (64.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 25 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.250M | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 1.300M | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 1.350M | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above 1.400M | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 1.450M | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Above 1.500M | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 1.550M | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 1.250M:
If the value of US building permits (total units) for October 2026 is above 1.250M (SAAR), then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first-published U.S. building permits value for October 2026, as released in the Census New Residential Construction report and reflected by Trading Economics on the initial release date. Later revised, final, or updated building permits releases, including the revised permits release approximately one week later, will not be used for resolution.
Sources
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