UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:19:39 UTC, Polymarket traders price O/U 0.5 Rounds (73.5%), O/U 1.5 Rounds (69.5%), Fight to Go the Distance? (64.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 25 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 73.5% | 73.5¢ | 26.5¢ |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 69.5% | 69.5¢ | 30.5¢ |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 63.5% | 63.5¢ | 36.5¢ |
| Fight won by decision? | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Decision or Draw | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev | 52.5% | 52.5¢ | 47.5¢ |
| Ends before Round 3? | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Fight won by submission? | 28.5% | 28.5¢ | 71.5¢ |
| Aliev to win by KO/TKO? | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Ends before Round 2? | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Dawson to win by KO/TKO? | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| Dawson in Round 1 | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
| Dawson in Round 2 | 26.5% | 26.5¢ | 73.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $83K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for O/U 0.5 Rounds:
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources
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