U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (6.0%). The market has $77K in volume and closes on Mon, 18 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $77K
- Liquidity: $77K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S. Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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