Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:21:35 UTC, Polymarket traders price $100M (12.6%), $400M (11.7%), $300M (11.0%). The market has $72K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 12.6% | 12.6¢ | 87.5¢ |
| $400M | 11.7% | 11.7¢ | 88.3¢ |
| $300M | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| $800M | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| $50M | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| $200M | 9.8% | 9.8¢ | 90.2¢ |
| $500M | 7.1% | 7.1¢ | 92.9¢ |
| $1B | 2.9% | 2.9¢ | 97.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $72K
- Liquidity: $49K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources
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