Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 15:51:11 UTC, Polymarket traders price 60-95mm (38.0%), 25-35mm (27.0%), 35-60mm (21.5%). The market has $500 in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60-95mm | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| 25-35mm | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| 35-60mm | 21.5% | 21.5¢ | 78.5¢ |
| 95mm+ | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 5-10mm | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 10-25mm | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| <5mm | 4.5% | 4.5¢ | 95.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $500
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between November 1 and November 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in November 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will…
Sources
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