Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:26:58 UTC, Polymarket traders price Anne Hathaway (88.0%), Samantha Morton (85.0%), Penélope Cruz (74.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Mon, 15 Mar 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Anne Hathaway88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Samantha Morton85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
Penélope Cruz74.0%74.0¢26.0¢
Tao Okamoto61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Amanda Seyfried58.5%58.5¢41.5¢
Mariana di Girolamo40.5%40.5¢59.5¢
Kate O'Flynn38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
Parker Posey33.0%33.0¢67.0¢
Sandra Hüller31.0%31.0¢69.0¢
Olivia Colman26.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Merritt Wever13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
Gemma Chan11.5%11.5¢88.5¢
Zendaya8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Isabella Rossellini7.2%7.2¢92.8¢
Betty Gilpin4.7%4.7¢95.3¢

Market details

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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