Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:47:48 UTC, Polymarket traders price The Baddest Speechwriter of All (73.5%), Oh Whale (51.0%), A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil (45.5%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Mon, 15 Mar 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
The Baddest Speechwriter of All73.5%73.5¢26.5¢
Oh Whale51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil45.5%45.5¢54.5¢
A Derailment33.5%33.5¢66.5¢
The Tuners31.5%31.5¢68.5¢
A Wolf in the Suburbs27.5%27.5¢72.5¢
Listen27.5%27.5¢72.5¢
Water Cooler27.0%27.0¢73.0¢
We're Fine21.5%21.5¢78.5¢
One Last Order20.0%20.0¢80.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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