OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:36:59 UTC, Polymarket traders price $1.30T+ (64.0%), $1.10-$1.20T (23.9%), $1.20-$1.30T (13.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 30 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1.30T+ | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| $1.10-$1.20T | 23.9% | 23.9¢ | 76.0¢ |
| $1.20-$1.30T | 13.5% | 13.5¢ | 86.5¢ |
| $1.00-$1.10T | 3.8% | 3.8¢ | 96.2¢ |
| $800-$900B | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
| $600-$700B | 1.6% | 1.6¢ | 98.5¢ |
| <$600B | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.6¢ |
| $700-$800B | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| $900B-$1.00T | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the last trading day of the specified month by 1:00 PM ET on the day following the last trading day of the specified month, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the last trading day of the specified month. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider the company’s public market capitalization on the last trading day of the specified month. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's list…
Sources
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