OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 18:53:21 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (8.5%). The market has $333K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8.5% | 8.5¢ | 91.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $333K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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