Next Brazilian Minister of Defense?

As of Sun, 01 Nov 2026 19:43:14 UTC, Polymarket traders price Person T (50.0%), Person U (50.0%), Person V (50.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.

Updated: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 19:43:14 UTC

Current odds

Market details

• Venue: Polymarket
• Volume: $1K
• Liquidity: $1K
• Closes: Mon, 01 Mar 2027

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Defense (Ministro da Defesa) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Defense at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Defense are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Defense assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information fro…

Sources

• Source: Polymarket market

Related markets

• Next French Presidential Election
• Next Prime Minister of Sweden
• Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
• Presidential Election Winner 2028
• Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
• Which party will win the House in 2026?

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.